PFF's exclusive metrics provide matchup previews, position rankings, grades, and snap counts. For more from Mike, check out hisarchiveand follow him@MikeTagliereNFL. His return to the field will give the Browns a boost as they look to realize the lofty expectations that they had heading into the 2019 season. He had a league-leading 159 tackles last year and is entering his age 30 season. When drafting a player in the early rounds, you want to ensure they can not only live up to their draft position, but hopefully exceed it. If this chart wont convince you, nothing will. Sutton dropped just three of his 115 targets last season. For the 2021 NFL season, several position groups namely wide receivers, tight ends, running backs are getting fresh number brackets, meaning number options for an individual player have. On a side note, the fact that he wont even be 24 to start his fourth NFL season is absurd. Today, well talk about the wide receiver position. As a free safety, Williams doesnt see the ball come his way all that often as the primary coverage defender, but he has put up at least eight combined interceptions and pass breakups (on 25 or fewer targets) in both 2017 and 2019. Maybe they went RB-heavy in the first few rounds and want to choose some high-floor options at wide receiver. Ive accumulated a 13-year sample size with only one requirement to be included. Here are the links to the study on other positions: It gets pretty ugly after the age-32 season, though, as just 4-of-64 receivers finished as top-12 receivers. Here are the top 10 receivers in the AFC West heading into the 2022 season: 10. The most polarizing offensive line prospect of the draft, Rams must be cautious if they trade back at 36, Rams cant trade out of talent if they trade back from 36th overall, Random Ramsdom: Rams grab o-lineman in latest Sporting News mock draft, Waynes career spanned 14 seasons, all with the Colts, and he was 36 in his final season, Wards career spanned 14 seasons too, all with the, Drivers career went for 14 seasons, all with the, Masons career was 15 seasons, roughly split between the Titans and Ravens, and he was 37 when he played for the, The passing eras of 1999, 2009, or 2019, are all dramatically different, Nelsons career spanned 10 seasons, 9 with Packers, retired after 33, Edelmans career spanned 12 seasons, all with Patriots, retired after 34, Garcons career spanned 11 seasons, mostly split with Colts, WFT, retired after 32, DeSeans career has spanned 14 seasons, 8 with Eagles, is playing now at 35. He recorded 19 sacks last year. For those who suggest Julio Jones is worth just WR3/4 prices in dynasty, I suggest you stop thinking that now. On passes that were thrown 20 or more yards downfield, Jackson has allowed just 12 of his 48 targets to be completed, with 22 forced incompletions mixed in. He was arguably football's best tight end prior to retiring, with four All-Pro designations in nine seasons as a great receiver and elite blocker. | Now that we know most wide receivers lose elite upside when they turn 32, what about performing as a consistent WR1 for your fantasy team? He made the Pro Bowl at age 29, but Baldwin was not the same player at 30 and he never played in the NFL again after that season. Injuries have nagged Watt over the last few years, but he remains elite when he's on the field. Some, especially Jones and Hilton, look much worse. Maybe you do. McCaffrey is the ideal modern NFL running back. His 110 missed tackles forced are more than any other player, and his 1,980 rushing yards after contact are fewer than only Derrick Henry. The Spartans ranked. The Ravens have one of the most talented secondaries in the NFL, and Humphrey has been a big part of that group. He raised his grade from 79.4 as a rookie to 91.2 this past season, and his 88.8 grade over the last two seasons combined is higher than any other interior offensive lineman in the league over that span. When does a fantasy player stop producing like an elite option? Is there a player falling down draft boards due to his age and perceived drop-off? What wide receivers are 29 years old? Wide receivers dont necessarily have to be straight speed demons although it certainly doesnt hurt if theyre blazing fast. Cooper Kupp is shift team certified pic.twitter.com/bO9RDMh2GU. The fourth overall pick in 2011, Green had every right to at least be the next Andre Johnson. 3. He appeared in 16 games, catching 34 passes for 571 yards. Since he was drafted in the second round of the 2018 NFL Draft, no running back has graded out higher than Chubb as a rusher. Somehow Schwartz has never made a Pro Bowl in his eight NFL seasons, but he still deserves attention as one of the elite offensive linemen in football. Thats because normal people are using their brains and the brains go History says X, Y, and Z! But history doesnt help us here because the playbook for how teams should handle receivers as they get closer to 30 is changing every week. Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. Suttons 83.1 PFF grade was a top-10 mark at the wide receiver position in 2019. He is 37 years old. Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Deshaun Watson, Christian McCaffrey, Jamal Adams, Myles Garrett and Quenton Nelson are all 25 years old, making them ineligible for this list. If you want a deeper dive, we have included more information later in the article. The biggest takeaway while looking at this chart is something many have forgotten after watching a great rookie class in 2019. The greatest wideout of his era, Brown is an exception to the rule because maybe he brought this decline on himself. His 80 total pressures in 2019 were the most recorded by a rookie in the PFF era, easily beating out Aldon Smiths previous record of 64 in 2011. Wide. Jones, who turned 30 in the offseason, has been an All-Pro in two of the last three seasons and has double-digit sacks in six of the last seven years. In 2000, six of the eighteen 1,000-yard receivers were at least 30, including 34-year-old Tim Brown and 35-year-old Cris Carter. You can drop this number down from 1,000 yards to 800 yards and it really will not make much of a difference. Blame it on injuries if you want to, the fact is that one OBJ case would be an exception; when there isnt a single 30+ OBJ in the league, it means that the rule says: You cant be a wide receiver over 30 anymore. When does he stop offering top-12 upside? On a side note, the fact that he wont even be 24 to start his fourth NFL season is absurd. Consider not only the career lifespans of players like Rice and Moss, who we know transcend almost all other receivers to come along in the last 50 years, but also the likes of really really good wideouts like Reggie Wayne, Hines Ward, Donald Driver, and Derrick Mason: Before we even get to the modern era, Ill pose this question to you: Do you expect Cooper Kupp to play 14 seasons with the Rams? Justin Johnson sorts through the wide receiver corps of the NFC East. As you can see for the wide receiver position there is no major drop off. Johnson is one of the league's most athletic and dominant offensive linemen, with three consecutive Pro Bowl appearances. I mean, why would anyone want to lie to you? Bosa did things as a rookie that we havent seen since the PFF era began in 2006. But maybe the next generation of 30+ receivers was just starting to come into their own in 2017. Ive accumulated a 14-year sample size with only one requirement to be included. Whenever I hear such stereotypes, I want to do my best to set the record straight. Finally, the drop off isnt as steep as we might have thought. Get the comprehensive list of every Wide Receiver for each NFL pro football team Ryan was the 2016 NFL MVP and has been a consistent producer over 12 seasons. However, the fantasy gods are on our side as you can see the % of the wide receivers ages 30-34 who hit the 100 target benchmark actually increases to an average of 25.5%. Green (33), and Emmanuel Sanders (34). There are sure to be outliers, but again, do not unload wide receivers who are 28- or 29-year-old studs. He is at the forefront of the talented receiving options at Tom Bradys disposal in his first year with Tampa Bay. A couple of young receivers seem ready to explode! In some ways, Beckham kind of created this world of spectacular young wide receivers that we live in today. Hilton was the Wide Receiver 22 weeks 9-17. (Dec. 19, 2010) pic.twitter.com/tcQOG44Dm3, (Fitzgerald fits in the mold with Moss, Rice, and his career went 17 seasons, all with Cardinalshes currently 38). Barkleys inclusion on this list is based on the obvious talent he showcased as a rookie in 2018 rather than the relatively disappointing, injury-plagued sophomore campaign we saw from him this past season. That number drops to only 21.9 for wide receivers in the 30-34 bracket. He's on a streak of three consecutive Pro Bowls and has been an All-Pro in two of the last three seasons with a combined 29 sacks over that time. TL;DR: This article explores at which ages NFL wide receivers have their most productive seasons. Now that we know a wide receiver essentially loses his elite upside when he turns 32, what about performing as a consistent WR1 for your fantasy team? No wide receiver has finished top-five in their age-21 season. 11 years ago today, DeSean Jackson walked it off with a punt return TD! Although the sample sizes for NFL wide receivers grows smaller as age increases, readers can apply this data to fantasy drafts because Mike Tagliere shows that wide receivers do not significantly decline until the age of 33 or 34, meaning that drafters need not shy away from most older players. As a rookie in 2018, Barkleys 86.3 receiving grade was a top-five mark at the position, and his 31 missed tackles forced after the catch led all NFL players by eight. By, Kareem Elgazzar / USA Today Sports Images, Douglas DeFelice / USA Today Sports Images, Mark J. Rebilas / USA Today Sports Images, Vincent Carchietta / USA Today Sports Images, Robert Hanashiro / USA Today Sports Images, This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google. As noted, 13-percent of 1,000-yard receivers in 2013 were 30, but then Larry Fitzgerald, Marques Colston, and Nate Washington were all over 900 yards. So the percentage of 1,000-yard wideouts went from 12.5-percent in 2010 to 26.3-percent in 2012, but then fell back to 13-percent in 2013. He turns 32 in November. Expect him to put up even bigger numbers in Year 3 with, Its easy to get dispirited with Smith-Schuster after the 2019 season, attributing all his struggles in his third season to the fact that, wasnt there to draw away attention. Seth Trachtman is a fantasy sports expert and diehard Kansas City Chiefs fan. Green, Golden Tate, Doug Baldwin, Dez Bryant. He's hoping to rebound from a down age 30 season, when he recorded eight sacks in 15 games. It's clear that wide receivers take some time to develop and have a. Always free! He can do everything you would want a running back to do, and hell continue to do so for the Panthers given that hes coming off a freshly-inked contract extension. Sources: Razzball.com, Pro Football Focus, Pro Football Reference, Football Outsiders and FFToday.com, Adam Thielen, Amari Cooper, Antonio Brown, Cole Beasley, Emmanuel Sanders, John Brown, Julio Jones, Marvin Jones Jr., T.Y. Miller is one of the first pass rushers NFL fans think of because of his longevity and consistency, with eight Pro Bowls in nine seasons. Has finished top-five in their age-21 season you want a deeper dive, we have included information! ( 33 ), and Humphrey has been a big part of that group Mike, check out hisarchiveand him. Be included: 10 City Chiefs fan the last few years, but he elite... Take some time to develop and have a the NFL, and snap counts is one of league... The fourth overall pick in 2011, green had every right to at least,. 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